Political Analysis: Domestic and International Dynamics

See full analysis in agent output. Key findings summarized in _ASSESSMENT.md

Key Findings

• Only 27% of Americans approve of strikes (Reuters/Ipsos) — worst initial support for any major US military operation in polling history
• 42% of Republicans would become less supportive if US troops killed — 3 already dead
• Congressional War Powers resolutions expected but Trump veto-proof; 60-day clock is the real constraint
• Netanyahu benefits most: war delays elections, deflects corruption scandals, validates existential framing
• Iran's Interim Leadership Council structurally dominated by IRGC through Mohseni-Ejei; Pezeshkian has title but limited power
• Electoral clocks are misaligned: Trump wants fast (4 weeks), Netanyahu wants sustained (through October elections), Iran wants to deny both
• EU vocal but impotent; Gulf states furious at being targets; Russia/China rhetoric without action
• Most likely political trajectory: declared US "victory" within 3-4 weeks regardless of ground truth